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Matt takes you through a betting preview for the Super Bowl between the Eagles and the Chiefs. Matt discusses how he found value for his NFL playoff early bets using OddsJam. The OddsJam sports betting software has real-time NFL odds from over fifty sportsbooks.
He discusses his NFL sports betting strategy and shares how he finds value on all his picks. Matt explains how to find and place mathematically profitable bets using the OddsJam Positive EV and arbitrage tools.
Matt is excited about his early 2022-2023 NFL week bets. Using OddsJam to compare odds with other sportsbooks ensured Matt placed a profitable bets for the wild card games this weekend.
OddsJam has real-time NFL odds from over forty sportsbooks, including DraftKings and FanDuel. He thinks he currently has the best bets for NFL playoff games this weekend.
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What's up everybody Matt Modi here with Oddsjam finally the hours are counting Down and we're getting close to the Super Bowl very excited for it I'm not Gonna hide from it as you can tell by Pretty much everything about me I am an Eagles fan but in this video I'm just Going to be giving out straight up Best Bets from the positive EV page not Biased homorific Eagles picks just the Best value picks and I'll make it quick Because I know the games starting soon First up we are locking in Jake Elliott Over seven and a half kicking points I Actually really like this one two Touched or uh two field goals two extra Points he gets to eight we cash this the Eagles are going to need to convert in The red zone to win but the value here Is on Jake Elliott's kicking points uh It's at plus 133 odds at Caesars and the Novig line that oddstam calculates has This at about essentially plus 127 and a Half so the gap between these two Numbers that is where your profitability Comes from Basically the way it works is like osjam Calculates the perfect line the true Line of what a market should be priced At and these odds are just pulled from The sharpest Sports books in the world The sports books that consistently do The best job at pricing odds feeds into These numbers so you can view it as the
True line right as I've been saying the True line of this Market We're getting it about five and a half Cents better at plus 133 odds and then If you look at all the other sports Books and where they price it plus 110 Plus 115 plus 117 a clear outlier Caesar's clearly excuse me clearly has This play missed price right they have The incorrect mispriced odds for this Play in this case it's misper it's Mispriced in our favor right it's we're Getting higher payout and the other way To think about this is like Caesars is Charging the least amount of money for Every uh excuse me charging least amount Of money across every single Sportsbook For this play DraftKings bet Rivers Pinnacle they all Think this play is more likely to occur So they're making it more expensive to Buy the payout is not nearly as good According to these Sports books Caesars Is clearly the outlier here so that Makes it a profitable betting Opportunity you're just looking at when You're betting on the positive EV page You're trying to identify outliers Across the entire betting landscape Basically saying hey we're not going to Outsmart the sportsbooks what we are Going to do is let the sportsbooks work Against themselves let the sportsbooks Outsmart themselves
So this is the first play I really like It I locked this one in as you can see Here Jake Elliott over seven and a half Kicking points I put 75 bucks on this One which for me is three quarters of a Unit that's pretty much what I put on All these player props Jake Elliott over Seven and a half total kicking points Next up the play that we are locking in Is Juju Smith Schuster his longest Reception to go under 17 and a half Yards so I locked this one in at betfred Under 17 and a half yards I put to win Three quarters of a unit on this one so I risked 87 It's probably hard to see Let me zoom in so I risked 87 to win Roughly 75 again how I have my unit Sizing worked out uh the IGN perfect Line prices this essentially at -1 19 We're getting it four cents better four Cents higher payout that's what I mean When I say better at minus 115. so There's your value again looking at the Other sports books clear outlier on Betfred Pinnacle is the closest 10 cents Higher at -125 DraftKings is at minus 135 Caesars is all the way down at -157 So Caesars is also the the most Favorable on this going under so another Kind of outlier but not nearly as big as Betfred So this is play number two that we are Going to head going ahead and locking in Juju Smith Schuster under 17 and a half
Longest reception and then last play on The EV page I do have one more after This is Travis Kelsey over seven and a Half receptions so I actually already Locked this one in I locked it in on FanDuel but it's still available at Betfred for those of you that are able To use betfred so it's still really good Plus 110 odds at betfred Ogden perfect Line pricing this at plus 108 so again Smaller Gap but still a gap nonetheless Notebook is giving you looks like the Closest it's plus 105 but then every Other book is pretty much plus 100 minus 115 minus 105. Pinnacle having it at Minus 102. and this one I mean like Travis Kelsey is not even a question the Best receiving option for the Chiefs He's going to get peppered with targets He's got an absolute mind meld with Mahomes you can't stop these two that One's really good especially the fact That we're getting it for plus money So that's the third pick the last one That I found actually on the oddsjam Arbitrage page so another way of finding Profitable bets is Chris Jones over Three and a half tackles plus plus Assists excuse me Um so Chris Jones I locked this one in It's at plus 136 odds at Caesars again I Put 75 bucks on this one another one That's really good you could ignore uh Prize picks because they are DFS company
So their odds are going to be the same For every play but look at the other Three again that price it's the same Logic clear outlier DraftKings plus 100 FanDuel plus 104 bet MGM plus 100 Caesars all the way up at plus 136. it's Insane how big of an outlier how Mispriced Caesars is on this line So I hit it this one's really good that Is my fourth and final pick for these Last minute bets for the Super Bowl and That's going to be it that's going to be It so tons of content out for the Super Bowl I appreciate it for everybody that Has tuned in and liked commented Subscribed to the iTune YouTube channel If you want to um follow me have a live Mental breakdown during the game you can Hit me up on Twitter you see on my Twitter handle here but that's it so I Appreciate again everybody tuning in And have a good one
