Positive EV Betting With Mike | July 9th 2022

While the NFL season is well underway, odds for the Super Bowl are still in flux. This is due in large part to a number of factors, including the performance of individual players and teams. If a team is struggling, its odds for winning the Super Bowl will be longer than if it was a top-ranked team. Other factors that can affect the point total of a Super Bowl game include individual player awards, the number of wins each team will manage and more.

NFL games also feature a variety of props, or wagers on certain outcomes, such as the game’s total points scored. In many cases, these props are similar to totals, and can include such bets as the Vikings Over 3.5 sacks, or Carson Wentz Over 230.5 passing yards. Season-long team futures are also popular, as they offer higher payouts and odds than individual games. In the NFL, the Rams, for example, had the fourth-lowest odds going into the 2021 season at +1400. The same holds true for teams in the middle of the pack, such as the New York Giants or Dallas Cowboys.

Another important aspect of smart sports betting is tracking the line. If you can spot when a line is moving in the opposite direction from the masses, that’s a big advantage when betting on a game. This is especially true if you bet on the NFL, where lines can differ widely among different betting sites. Essentially, you’ll want to bet on the side with lower odds and try to take advantage of this fact. A good way to do this is to line-shop.

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